The Arizona State Sun Devils (3-3) venture to Texas this Saturday to take on the TCU Horned Frogs (2-3) in a matchup that features two teams with a combined 5-6 record. The Sun Devils are slight favorites, according to the latest odds from the sportsbooks, with the line currently sitting at -4.5.
The Sun Devils are coming off a narrow loss to Utah, while the Horned Frogs have lost two of their last three. In the three losses, TCU has scored just 27 points, while allowing 38.5 points per game. The Sun Devils have been better offensively, averaging 28.3 points per game, but have been vulnerable defensively, allowing 30.7 points per game.
Arizona State has been strong on the ground this season, averaging 182.3 rushing yards per game and 5.3 yards per carry. TCU has been less effective in the run game, averaging just 130.2 rushing yards per game and 3.7 yards per carry. Arizona State will look to exploit this weakness and establish a strong running game early in the game.
TCU has been led offensively by quarterback Max Duggan, who has thrown for 1,092 yards and nine touchdowns this season. He has also rushed for 235 yards and four touchdowns. He is the key for the Horned Frogs, as he must be able to move the ball and keep the Sun Devils defense off balance.
The Horned Frogs will try to slow down the Sun Devils offense with their stout defense, which is allowing just 4.7 yards per play and has held opponents to just 20 points per game. The Sun Devils will need to be efficient and take advantage of TCU’s mistakes in order to score points on Saturday.
The Sun Devils have been solid on special teams, averaging 22.9 yards per kick return and 11.1 yards per punt return. The Horned Frogs will need to be alert in the kicking game and limit their mistakes in order to stay in the game.
Given the current line, the Sun Devils are favored to prevail in this contest. Arizona State has the edge in the run game, while TCU has the edge defensively. The Sun Devils will need to find a way to move the ball against the Horned Frogs defense and limit their mistakes in order to cover the spread and come away with a victory.