Aston Villa Chelsea Prediction – Premier League – 04/28/2024: Draw with over 3.5 goals in the match

Aston Villa Chelsea predictions: bets, context and lineups

Our sports betting expert presents his Aston Villa Chelsea match prediction in the Premier League on April 28.

Best bet for Aston Villa Chelsea

• Draw ⭐ with odds of 3.90 on Betsson, ie 26% chance so that a draw occurs.
• Over 3.5 goals in the match ⭐ with odds of 2.20 on Betsson, ie 45% chance that there are at least four goals.
• Both teams scored in the second half ⭐ with odds of 2.35 at Betsson, give 42% chance with both clubs finding the net after the break.

Odds are provided by Betsson at the time of publication and are subject to change.

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Our analysis: the state of form of the two teams

Aston Villa, knocked out of the FA Cup by Chelsea in their last clash, will be looking for revenge here.

Unai Emery has done a great job since arriving at Villa Park. Thanks to his immediate impact, they qualified for the Europa League. They now have a chance to win the competition to end their long wait for the trophy. They are in search of a place to play in the Champions League next season, but they face strong competition from Tottenham. Villa came from behind to beat Bournemouth in their last match. They have been very strong in attack this season. Ollie Watkins has reached a new level at centre-forward and Emery is committed to developing his team’s attacking potential.

Mauricio Pochettino did not have a good start like Emery. His first season at Chelsea was plagued by injuries. However, things have slowly improved since the beginning of the year. The Blues played well and they played they were unlucky to lose the FA Cup semi-final against Manchester City last weekend. They have suffered only two defeats in 11 Premier League matches in 2024 ahead of their midweek trip to the Emirates.

Aston Villa is likely to compete for Chelsea

Possible formation of Aston Villa :

Martinez; Silver, Konsa, Torres, Digne; McGinn, Tielemans, Bailey, Diaby, Rogers; Watkins.

Possible Chelsea squad:

Petrovic; Gusto, Chalobah, Silva, Cucurella; Caicedo, Fernandes, Madueke, Palmer, Gallagher; Jackson.

The first prediction between Aston Villa vs Chelsea is that the match will end in a draw. It’s a hard match to predict, though Unai Emery’s side have been exceptional at home this season. They have lost just three of their 17 Premier League games at Villa Park. Although they have beaten the likes of Arsenal and Manchester City at home, they have only beaten Chelsea once in their last five matches at this stage. Mauricio Pochettino’s side are unbeaten in their last eight Premier League matches. They have met Sheffield United, Brentford and Manchester City in their last three away games. They always took action.

Prediction 2: Over 3.5 goals in the match @ 2.20 by Betsson

This match has a lot of potential to score goals. Aston Villa’s matches in the Premier League have seen an average of 3.56 goals per match this season. This number increases to 3.88 if we only count the statistics from their home games. In these matches at Villa Park, Emery’s men have scored an average of 2.52 goals and conceded 1.35. Chelsea’s Premier League matches in 2024 (before their match against Arsenal) have seen the most goals, an average of 4.36 per game. Both teams have scored in nine of the last ten matches, making over 3.5 goals according to our advice.

Prediction 3: Both teams score in the second half @ 2.35 with Betsson

Next up in our Aston Villa vs Chelsea prediction is for both teams to score in the second half of the match, at odds of 2.35 using Betsson’s GG market. This bet has won 11 of Aston Villa’s 17 home games in the Premier League this season. This second half saw Villa scoring an average of 1.47 goals and allowing one. Both teams have scored after the break in five of their last six Premier League games. Everton are the only team not to score in the second half this term. Villa have scored an average of 1.06 more goals per game than The Toffees this season.

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